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Integrated model for planning of field development indicators

Abstract

   The work presents actual methods of production forecasting used in industry. Particular attention is devoted to the analysis of decline rates of oil production from production history and the approximation of the empirical decline rate by analytical functions. The concept of a corridor of decline rates is introduced. Approaches to the forecasting of the base production in the context of each well, including the displacement curves, are described. The ways of risk analy­sis in oil production forecasting are given.

About the Authors

A. V. Akhmetov
Gazpromneft NTC LLC
Russian Federation

Saint-Petersburg



А. Р. Roshchektaev
Gazpromneft NTC LLC
Russian Federation

Saint-Petersburg



А. А. Pustovskikh
Gazpromneft NTC LLC
Russian Federation

Saint-Petersburg



A. N. Sitnikov
Gazpromneft NTC LLC
Russian Federation

Saint-Petersburg



E. V. Askerova
Gazprom Neft PJSC
Russian Federation

Saint-Petersburg



A. V. Bilinchuk
Gazprom Neft PJSC
Russian Federation

Saint-Petersburg



References

1. Yulmukhametov D. R., Afanas'ev I. S., Mukhamedshin R. K., Vavilov N. V., An integrated method for business plan oil field production forecast (In Russ.), Nauchno-tekhnicheskiy vestnik OAO "NK "Rosneft", 2010, no. 2, pp. 26-29.

2. Vavilov N. V., Yulmukhametov D. R., System of operative planning oil production (In Russ.), Nauchno-tekhnicheskiy vestnik OAO "NK "Rosneft " , 2010, no. 3, pp. 50-52.

3. Dan'ko M. Yu., Zadorozhnykh K. S., Analysis of uncertain oil recovery process while planning the well commissioning issues (In Russ.), Neft'. Gaz. Novatsii, 2012, no. 6 (161), pp. 17-22.

4. Garalov A.Sh.. Sil'vestrova I.Yu., Technical approach to advanced oil production planning (In Russ.), SOCAR Proceedings, 2016, no. 1, pp. 70-76.

5. Anur'ev M. K., Gulyaeva T. M., Lekomtsev A. V., Chernyshev D. V., To forecast the oil production decline rate based on history data of developing oil deposits (In Russ.), Vestnik Permskogo natsional'nogo issledovatel'skogo politekhnicheskogo universiteta, 2013, V. 12, no. 6, pp. 93-100.


Review

For citations:


Akhmetov A.V., Roshchektaev А.Р., Pustovskikh А.А., Sitnikov A.N., Askerova E.V., Bilinchuk A.V. Integrated model for planning of field development indicators. PROneft. Professionally about Oil. 2017;(3):42-45. (In Russ.)

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ISSN 2587-7399 (Print)
ISSN 2588-0055 (Online)