CCUS technology competitiveness analysis: technology readiness level and economics
https://doi.org/10.51890/2587-7399-2023-8-1-158-176
Abstract
Purpose of the article. Review the technical and economic parameters of CCUS technologies and identify the most attractive market niches for them.
Materials and methods. An analysis of the CCUS value chain was carried out from the standpoint of the level of TRL. Further, in the most developed segments, the cost levels for each segment of the technological chain were analysed.
Results. An analysis of TRL of CCUS technologies showed that, as of 2021, most of these technologies are at the demonstration stage or at the stage of a large prototype.
Cost analyses across the entire CCUS value chain show wide variability among the literature reviewed and identify the CO2 capture stage as the most expensive stage in the CCUS value chain. It demonstrates an impressive range of CO2 costs, currently ranging from $20 to $450/tCO2. Note the lack of data on specific capture processes and technologies.
Conclusion. In 2020, the average CO2 price was less than $10/tCO2, however, in a number of countries, such as Switzerland, Finland, Sweden, Norway, Canada, France and Korea, the CO2 price already today allows some CCUS projects to reach profitability threshold. The analysis of technologies carried out by the authors at the TRL 9-11 also shows that there are already certain industries in which CCUS technologies can help in decarbonisation, and for some of these industries (for example, natural gas processing and fertilizer production), the costs of throughout the value chain start at $20-25 per ton.
The most promising areas at the moment are the application of CCUS in the chemical industry, ferrous metallurgy, natural gas production and coal-fired power plants. Note that ferrous metallurgy and the chemical industry are the sectors where it is most difficult to apply any alternative methods of deep decarbonisation.
About the Authors
E. V. GrushevenkoRussian Federation
Ekaterina V. Grushevenko — Senior manager
30 building 1, Bolshoy Blvd., Skolkovo Innovation Center, Western administrative district, Mozhaysky district, 121205, Moscow
Scopus ID: 56274258900
S. A. Kapitonov
Russian Federation
Sergey A. Kapitonov — Manager
30 building 1, Bolshoy Blvd., Skolkovo Innovation Center, Western administrative district, Mozhaysky district, 121205, Moscow
Yu. A. Lyashik
Russian Federation
Yuliya A. Lyashik — Expert in the field of ecology and low-carbon development
14 bldg. 3, Kadashevskaya Naberezhnaya, 119017, Moscow
I. V. Gaida
Russian Federation
Irina V. Gaida — Expert
30 building 1, Bolshoy Blvd., Skolkovo Innovation Center, Western administrative district, Mozhaysky district, 121205, Moscow
A. A. Osiptsov
Russian Federation
Andrey A. Osiptsov — Director
30 building 1, Bolshoy Blvd., Skolkovo Innovation Center, Western administrative district, Mozhaysky district, 121205, Moscow
Scopus ID: 57218260132
References
1. Press release, Widespread, Rapid and Accelerating Climate Change / IPCC, August 2021. URL: https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2021/08/IPCC_WGI-AR6-Press-Release_en.pdf]
2. IEA: Energy Technology Perspectives 2020. pp. 91-93, https://www.iea.org/reports/energy-technology-perspectives-2020,
3. IPCC, 2005: IPCC Special Report on Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage. Prepared by Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Metz, B., O. Davidson, H. C. de Coninck, M. Loos, and L. A. Meyer (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 442 pp.
4. Wang X and Song C (2020) Carbon Capture From Flue Gas and the Atmosphere: A Perspective. Front. Energy Res. 8:560849. pp. 1-23, doi: 10.3389/fenrg.2020.560849
5. CO2 capture technologies: post combustion capture (PCC) // The Global CCS Institute. — January 2012, pp. 10-11.
6. Bhadola, Patel V., Potdar S., Mallick S. Technology Scouting — Carbon Capture: From Today's to Novel Technologies // Concawe. — September 2020. pp. 3.
7. Oxyfuel Combustion / Official website ScienceDirect, 2022. URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/topics/engineering/oxyfuel-combustion
8. Lebling K., Mcqueen N., Pisciotta M., Wilcox J.. Direct Air Capture: Resource Considerations and Costs for Carbon Removal / WRI, 2022, https://www.wri.org/insights/direct-air-capture-resource-considerations-and-costs-carbon-removal
9. Boundary Dam Carbon Capture Project / SaskPower, 2022. URL: https://www.saskpower.com/Our-Power-Future/Infrastructure-Projects/Carbon-Capture-and-Storage/Boundary-Dam-Carbon-Capture-Project
10. PETRA NOVA — Carbon capture and the future of coal power / NRG Energy, 2022. URL: https://www.nrg.com/case-studies/petra-nova.html
11. quest carbon capture and storage / Shell Canada, 2022. URL: https://www.shell.ca/en_ca/about-us/projects-and-sites/quest-carbon-capture-and-storage-project.html
12. CCS in the Middle East — Present and Future / The Global CCS Institute EVENTS, January 2021. URL: https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/news-media/events/ccs-in-the-middle-east-present-and-future/
13. COURSE50 — Technology / The Japan Iron and Steel Federation, 2022. URL: https://www.course50.com/en/technology/
14. The Global Status of CCS Report 2020 / The Global CCS Institute, March 2020. URL: https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Global-Status-of-CCS-Report-English.pdf
15. Surface-Facilities Design for First CO2 EOR Project in Saudi Arabia / The Journal of Petroleum Technology, August 2018. URL: https://jpt.spe.org/surface-facilities-design-first-co2-eor-project-saudi-arabia
16. DOE/NETL carbon capture program — carbon dioxide capture handbook / National Energy Technology Laboratory. — August 2015.
17. Century Plant Fact Sheet: Commercial EOR using Anthropogenic Carbon Dioxide / CCS Project Database, MIT CC&ST Program, September 2016. URL: https://sequestration.mit.edu/tools/projects/century_plant.html
18. E. Koons. Top Carbon Capture Projects in 2022 — Great Plains / Energy Tracker Asia, May 2022. URL: https://energy-tracker.asia/carbon-capture-projects/
19. Turan G. Value of investment, partnerships and policy in growing CCS market // Decarbonisation Technology. — May 2022. — PP. 27-30. URL: https://ptqmagazines.digitalrefining.com/view/196702140/29/
20. Technical report. State of the art: CCS technologies 2022 // Global CCS Institute, May 2022. URL: https://www.globalccsin- stitute.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/State-of-the-Art-CCS-Technologies-2022.pdf
21. Robertson B., Mousavian M.. Shute Creek — world's largest carbon capture facility sells CO2 for oil production, but vents unsold / IEEFA. — March 2022. URL: https://ieefa.org/articles/shute-creek-worlds-largest-carbon-capture-facility-sells-co2-oil-production-vents-unsold
22. Jurado N., Darabkhani H.G., Anthony E.J., Oakey J.E. (2015). Oxy-fuel Combustion for Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS) from a Coal/Biomass Power Plant: Experimental and Simulation Studies. In: Dincer, I., Colpan, C., Kizilkan, O., Ezan, M. (eds) Progress in Clean Energy, Volume 2. Springer, Cham. pp. 177-192, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-17031-2_14
23. Callide oxyfuel project / CS Energy, 2022. URL: https://www.csenergy.com.au/what-we-do/thermal-generation/callide-power-station/callide-oxyfuel-project
24. Compostilla OXYCFB300 / PTECO2 — Plataforma Tecnologica Espanola del CO2, 2022. URL: https://www.pteco2.es/en/projects/compostilla-oxycfb300
25. Colleferro Oxyfuel Demonstration Details / The university of Edinburgh, 2022. URL: https://www.geos.ed.ac.uk/sccs/project-info/2241
26. LafargeHolcim and Schlumberger New Energy explore Carbon Capture and Storage Solutions / HOLCIM Media release, February 2021. URL: https://www.holcim.com/media/media-releases/lafargeholcim-and-schlumberger-new-energy-ex-plore-carbon-capture-and-storage-solutions
27. Cement Innovation for Climate research initiative created / Cement News, December 2019. URL: https://www.cemnet.com/News/story/167928/cement-innovation-for-climate-research-initiative-created.html
28. Rocha C., Anjos M., Machado R.. CCUS in the decarbonization of upstream production in Brazil // S&P Global, December 2021. URL: https://ihsmarkit.com/research-analysis/ccus-in-the-decarbonization-of-upstream-production-in-brazil.html
29. The C4U Project / Official website of C4U Project, 2022. URL: https://c4u-project.eu/
30. Cleanker / Official website of CLEANKER Project, 2022. URL: http://www.cleanker.eu/
31. Leilac // Official website of Leilac Project, 2022. URL: https://www.project-leilac.eu/
32. Dennis Y.C. Leung, Giorgio Caramanna, M. Mercedes Maroto-Valer. An overview of current status of carbon dioxide capture and storage technologies, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Volume 39, 2014, pages 426-443, ISSN 1364¬0321, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2014.07.093
33. Point source carbon capture program / National Energy Technology Laboratory, 2022. URL: https://netl.doe.gov/coal/carbon-capture/pre-combustion
34. Simbolotti G. CO2 capture and storage. Technology Brief / IEA ETSAP, 2010.
35. European technology platform for zero emission fossil fuel power plants (ZEP), the costs of CO2 capture // Transport and Storage. — 2011, 51 p.
36. Fout T., Zoelle A., Keairns D., Turner M., Woods M., Kuehn N., Shah V., Chou V., Pinkerton L.. Cost and Performance Baseline for Fossil Energy Plants — Volume 1a: Bituminous Coal (PC) and Natural Gas to Electricity. — Revision. — 3. — 2015, pp. 46, 218-231.
37. Global CCUS Institute, Economic assessment of carbon capture and storage technologies, 2011 update, pp. 58.
38. Kristin Gerdes et al. / Energy Procedia 63 (2014), pp. 7541-7557.
39. Rubin E.S., et al. The cost of CO2 capture and storage. Int. J. Greenhouse Gas Control (2015), pp. 378-400, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijggc.2015.05.018
40. M. Finkenrath. Cost and performance of carbon dioxide capture from power generation // International Energy Agency. — 2011.
41. The Costs of CCUS and Other Low-carbon Technologies / Global CCUS Institute, 2011.
42. Irlam L. The costs of CCUS and other low-carbon technologies in the United States — 2015 update / Global CCS Institute. — July 2015.
43. GCCUSI technology readiness and costs of CCUS / Global CCS Institute, 2015, p. 49.
44. ZEP Report .The cost of subsurface storage of CO2. ZEP memorandum / European Zero Emission Technology and Innovation Platform, December 2019.
45. Exploring Clean Energy Pathways: The Role of CO2 Storage / IEA, December 2019.
46. Carbon Capture Utilization and Storage Towards Net-Zero 2021 / Keraney, 2021.
47. Irlam L. Global costs of carbon capture and storage 2017. Update / Global CCS Institute, June 2017. URL: https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/archive/hub/publications/201688/global-ccs-cost-updatev4.pdf
48. Toward a common method of cost estimation for CO2 capture and storage at fossil fuel power plants a white paper / IEA GHG, 2013.
49. State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2020 / World Bank, May 2020. https://doi.org/10.1596/978-1-4648-1586-7
50. IEA GHG, Transmission of CO2 and Energy Report Number PH4/6 March 2002, 48 p.
51. Concawe Technology Scouting — Carbon Capture: From Today's to Novel Technologies, 2020.
52. IEA, Levelized cost of CO2 capture by sector and initial CO2 concentration, 2019.
53. Zero Emission Platform, IEAGHG, The Costs of CO2 Storage, 2011.
54. Global CCUS Institute. 2017. Global Cost Update. https://www.globalCCUSinstitute.com/archive/hub/publications/201688/global-CCUS-cost-updatev4.pdf
55. Simbolotti G. CO2 capture and storage. — IEA ETSAP. — Technology Brief. — 2010.
56. Fout T., Zoelle A., Keairns D., Turner M., Woods M., Kuehn N., Shah V., Chou V., Pinkerton L. Cost and Performance Baseline for Fossil Energy Plants. — Vol.1a: Bituminous Coal (PC) and Natural Gas to Electricity — Revision. — 3. — 2015.
57. Global CCUS Institute, Economic assessment of carbon capture and storage technologies, 2011 update, WorleyParsons. — Schlumberger, GCCUS, — 2011.
58. Global CCUS Institute, The Costs of CCUS and Other Low-carbon Technologies. — 2011.
59. Irlam L. The costs of CCUS and other low-carbon technologies in the United States, 2015 update.
60. GCCUSI technology readiness and costs of CCUS. — 2021.
61. Exploring Clean Energy Pathways: The Role of CO2 Storage. — IEA, Paris — 2019.
62. Graham P., Hayward J., Foster J., Havas L. Gen, Cost 2020-21: Consultation draft, Australia. — 2020.
63. Cui R.Y., Hultman N., Edwards M.R. et al. quantifying operational lifetimes for coal power plants under the Paris goals // Nat Commun. — 10. — 2019. — P. 4759. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-12618-3
64. IEA World Energy Outlook 2021. — IEA, Paris. https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2021, License: CC BY 4.0.
Review
For citations:
Grushevenko E.V., Kapitonov S.A., Lyashik Yu.A., Gaida I.V., Osiptsov A.A. CCUS technology competitiveness analysis: technology readiness level and economics. PROneft. Professionally about Oil. 2023;8(1):158-176. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.51890/2587-7399-2023-8-1-158-176